Prices are probabilities
YES and NO shares turn collective conviction into a number you can understand. Preview the exact cost, fee, payout, and worst-case loss before confirming.
Evidence-led prediction markets
Trade what you know.
Settle on the facts.
Buy YES or NO shares on real-world questions at prices that behave like probabilities. Every market carries public resolution rules, a named source, and an auditable settlement trail.
—Open markets
LiveProbability after every trade
2-stepIndependent result confirmation
ExactInteger-money settlement
Trading now
Questions with a price.
A 68% YES price means the market currently assigns a 68% probability to that outcome. Prices can move and trading involves risk.
How Meridian works
How Meridian works
Rules before you trade
Each question names its resolution source and closing time up front. The result cannot be redefined after you take a position.
Settlement with evidence
A result is proposed with supporting evidence and independently confirmed. Payouts and refunds are then recorded in a complete transaction history.
Built for trust
Limited. Legible.
In your control.
Meridian separates available, held, and pending money; requires identity verification before payment activity; and provides transaction receipts throughout the customer journey.
A result, end to end
- Trading closes and positions lock
- Evidence is attached and result proposed
- Independent confirmation completes
- Wallet payouts post with receipts